McSally, who was appointed to the seat of the late GOP Sen. John McCain, is in a hotly contested race against retired astronaut Mark Kelly, who is married to former Democratic Rep. Gabrielle Giffords and has been a prolific fundraiser. The winner will serve out the final two years of McCain’s term and then have to run in 2022 for a full six-year term. Meanwhile, Democratic Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, who defeated McSally in 2018, is up for reelection in 2024, setting up another competitive battle.
Democrats, and even some Republicans, believe Kelly has the advantage this year. Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates the Senate race Tilt Democratic. If Kelly wins, it would be the first time in almost 68 years that Arizona would have two Democrats in the Senate.
“It’s shocking,” Chuck Coughlin, a veteran GOP strategist in Arizona, said of the prospect of two Democratic senators. It’s a dramatic shift for a state that was once a Republican stronghold and produced two of the party’s presidential nominees, McCain in 2008 and Sen. Barry Goldwater in 1964.
Turning blue?
The question for both parties is whether the state’s competitive nature is a long-term move to the left or a specific reaction to Trump and McSally.
Arizona political strategists believe the state has been slowly becoming more competitive as it grows more racially diverse, but Trump accelerated that shift by alienating independent and GOP-leaning voters in the state’s more affluent suburbs, especially in Maricopa County, home to Phoenix.
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October 22, 2020 at 04:56PM
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Arizona race sets stage for Senate battles to come - Roll Call
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